Prognostic Value of E-cadherin-, CD44-, and MSH2-associated Nomograms in Patients With Stage II and III Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND To evaluate the prognostic value of E-cadherin, CD44, and MSH2 expression for colorectal cancer (CRC) and construct nomograms that can predict prognosis. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed the expression of E-cadherin, CD44, and MSH2 in 223 paraffin-embedded stage II and III CRC specimens using immunohistochemistry in the training cohort. Their prognostic values were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate and multivariate COX regression models. Moreover, a number of risk factors were used to form nomograms to evaluate survival, and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate the predictive accuracy. Further validation of the nomograms was performed in an independent cohort of 115 cases. RESULTS Low E-cadherin expression and low CD44 expression were significantly associated with diminished overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in stage II and III CRC patients and patients with negative MSH2 expression had better clinical outcomes. Moreover, the multivariate COX analysis identified E-cadherin, CD44 and MSH2 expression as independent prognostic factors for DFS and OS. Using these three markers and three clinicopathological risk variables, two nomograms were constructed and externally validated for predicting OS and DFS (C-index: training cohort, 0.779 (95% CI 0.722-0.835) and 0.771 (0.720-0.822), respectively; validation cohort, 0.773 (0.709-0.837) and 0.670 (0.594-0.747), respectively). CONCLUSION The expression levels of E-cadherin, CD44 and MSH2 were independent prognostic factors for stage II and III CRC patients. By incorporating clinicopathological features and these biomarkers, we have established two nomograms that could be used to make individualized predictions for OS and DFS.